PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris FC vs Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.6
Expected goals
1.811.66
Shots
13.216.2
Possession
50.4%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsParis FC · Stade Rennais13.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis FCStade RennaisBaseline
Fouls13.8 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC5 matchesStade Rennais5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.66 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/5● 50.8%
3 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paris FC
0Draws
2Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Paris FC · Ligue 12–1
Paris FC — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis FCStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headParis FC — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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