PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris FC vs Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.52
Expected goals
2.011.74
Shots
12.317
Possession
50%49.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsParis FC · Stade Rennais13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis FCStade RennaisBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC4 matchesStade Rennais4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.74 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 17 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5.75 shots/match
50% ●Possession4/449.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.25 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paris FC
0Draws
2Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Paris FC · Ligue 12–1
Paris FC — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis FCStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headParis FC — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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