PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

RC Lens vs Paris FC · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.831.33
Expected goals
2.011.62
Shots
1513.7
Possession
50.8%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Paris FC in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens6 matchesParis FC6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.62 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.7 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
50.8%Possession6/6● 52%
7 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
0Draws
0Paris FC
Paris FC — RC Lens · Ligue 10–5
RC Lens — Paris FC · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headRC Lens — Paris FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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