PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

AS Monaco vs Lille · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Lille

WDWWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.6
Expected goals
1.121.32
Shots
10.212.8
Possession
44.4%47.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to AS Monaco, 1 drawn, 3 to Lille. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lille in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco5 matchesLille5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.32 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.4 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/5● 47.8%
3.6 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AS Monaco
1Draws
3Lille
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–0
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–1
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 10–0
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoLille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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