PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Rennais vs RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.62
Expected goals
1.661.23
Shots
16.211.6
Possession
50.8%46.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: RC Strasbourg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · RC Strasbourg11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match17.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RC Strasbourg have a visible away split

weak

RC Strasbourg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais5 matchesRC Strasbourg5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession5/546.4%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/51.8 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
0Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–1
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Rennais — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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