PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Rennais vs RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.83
Expected goals
1.661.11
Shots
16.211.5
Possession
50.8%47.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · RC Strasbourg11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais6 matchesRC Strasbourg6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.83 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/61.11 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/611.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/64.5 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession5/647.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/62 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/611.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
0Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–1
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Rennais — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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