Auxerre vs Le Mans — Stats & Match Analysis

Ligue 1 · 2026Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC

Auxerre

LLWWL

vsPre-match analysis

Le Mans

LDDWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.331.67
Expected goals: 1.191.64
Shots: 11.810.3
Possession: 45.6%43%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: auxerre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsAuxerre · Le Mans14.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Auxerre	Le Mans	Baseline
Fouls	14.4 fouls/match	14.8 fouls/match	11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Auxerre have a visible home split

weak

Auxerre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Le Mans show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Le Mans's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · Le Mans10.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Auxerre	Le Mans	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	13.6 shots/match	17.2 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Le Mans in 3 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre6 matchesLe Mans6 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 1.64 xG/match

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/610.3 shots/match

5 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/64.5 shots/match

45.6% ●Possession5/643%

6 corners/match ●Corners5/62.83 corners/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/614.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season