Toulouse vs Troyes — Stats & Match Analysis

Ligue 1 · 2026Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC

Toulouse

LDLDW

vsPre-match analysis

Troyes

DWLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.40.8
Expected goals: 2.081.24
Shots: 14.814.8
Possession: 52.4%39%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: toulouse have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Toulouse have a visible home split

weak

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.3 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Toulouse have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.4% ●PossessionToulouse · Troyes39%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Toulouse	Troyes	Baseline
Possession	52.4%	39%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Troyes in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse5 matchesTroyes5 matches

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

2.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.24 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

52.4% ●Possession5/539%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match

16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Toulouse

0Draws

0Troyes

1 Feb 2023Toulouse — Troyes · Ligue 14–1

14 Aug 2022Troyes — Toulouse · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season