Toulouse vs Troyes — Stats & Match Analysis

Ligue 1 · 2026Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC

Toulouse

DLDWD

vsPre-match analysis

Troyes

WLLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.50.67
Expected goals: 1.961.22
Shots: 13.814.8
Possession: 50.7%38.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: toulouse have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Toulouse have a visible home split

weak

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

weak

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Toulouse have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.7% ●PossessionToulouse · Troyes38.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Toulouse	Troyes	Baseline
Possession	50.7%	38.7%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Troyes in 5 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse6 matchesTroyes6 matches

1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.22 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.8 shots/match

4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match

50.7% ●Possession6/638.7%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.33 corners/match

16.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Toulouse

0Draws

0Troyes

1 Feb 2023Toulouse — Troyes · Ligue 14–1

14 Aug 2022Troyes — Toulouse · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season