Le Mans
Ligue 1 · 2026Le Mans vs Toulouse · Ligue 1
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.75–1
- Expected goals
- 1.86–2.12
- Shots
- 10–15
- Possession
- 45%–52.3%
30-second read
What the record shows
The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Le Mans | Toulouse | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14.3 fouls/match | 16.8 fouls/match | 11.5 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Toulouse show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakToulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Le Mans | Toulouse | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 shots/match | 15 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
| Shots against | 18 shots/match | 14 shots/match | 14.1 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Le Mans favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Toulouse in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Le Mans / Toulouse
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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