PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Troyes vs RC Lens · Ligue 1

Troyes

DWLL
vsPre-match analysis

RC Lens

WLLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.8
Expected goals
1.292.14
Shots
13.815
Possession
39%51.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/matchCornersTroyes · RC Lens● 7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTroyesRC LensBaseline
Corners6.75 corners/match7 corners/match5.13 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%PossessionTroyes · RC Lens● 51.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTroyesRC LensBaseline
Possession39%51.4%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Troyes favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RC Lens in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Troyes4 matchesRC Lens5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 2.14 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 15 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 6.4 shots/match
39%Possession4/5● 51.4%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/5● 7 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/511.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Troyes
1Draws
4RC Lens
Troyes — RC Lens · Coupe de France2–4
Troyes — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Troyes · Ligue 11–0
Troyes — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Troyes · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTroyesRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headTroyes — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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