PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Troyes

DWLLL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.81.5
Expected goals
1.241.38
Shots
14.813.5
Possession
39%60.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%PossessionTroyes · Olympique de Marseille● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTroyesOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession39%60.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Troyes favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Troyes5 matchesOlympique de Marseille4 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.38 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/413.5 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 5 shots/match
39%Possession5/4● 60.8%
7.6 corners/match ●Corners5/45 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Troyes
1Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Troyes · Ligue 13–1
Troyes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Troyes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Troyes · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTroyesOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headTroyes — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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