PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Troyes 0–2 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Troyes

DWLLL
0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 0–2.

Shots
155
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.141.26
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Troyes – Olympique de Marseille): shots 15–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.14–1.26, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionTroyes · Olympique de Marseille● 57.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTroyesOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession38.7%57.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Troyes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Troyes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsTroyes · Olympique de Marseille11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTroyesOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsTroyes 15 shots, Olympique de Marseille 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsTroyes 3 shots, Olympique de Marseille 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.26 xGTroyes 1.14 xG, Olympique de Marseille 1.26 xG
  • Possession37%63%Troyes 37%, Olympique de Marseille 63%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersTroyes 6 corners, Olympique de Marseille 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsTroyes 14 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardTroyes 4 cards, Olympique de Marseille 1 card
  • Passes350 passes640 passesTroyes 350 passes, Olympique de Marseille 640 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.3%89.4%Troyes 80.3%, Olympique de Marseille 89.4%
  • Shots inside box13 shots5 shotsTroyes 13 shots, Olympique de Marseille 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksTroyes 4 blocks, Olympique de Marseille 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesTroyes 0 saves, Olympique de Marseille 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesTroyes 2 offsides, Olympique de Marseille 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 22′Lucas MaronnierYellow card · Troyes
  2. 45′Angel GomesYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Amine HaritGoal · Olympique de Marseille
  5. 58′Karim DermaneYellow card · Troyes
  6. 88′Antoine MilleYellow card · Troyes
  7. 90′Patrick BeachYellow card · Troyes
  8. 90′Himad AbdelliPenalty goal · Olympique de Marseille
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 61′Troyes · 1 player changeRenaud Ripart
  • 63′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesKeyliane Abdallah · Neal Maupay
  • 69′Troyes · 1 player changeHugo Picard
  • 73′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeTochukwu Nnadi
  • 77′Troyes · 1 player changeAlexandre Phliponeau
  • 78′Troyes · 2 player changesChrist Batola · Timothé Nkada
  • 87′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesFaris Moumbagna · Geoffrey Kondogbia

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Troyes4-2-3-1
  1. Patrick BeachG
  2. Anis OuzenadjiD
  3. Michel DiazD
  4. Adrien MonfrayD
  5. Noah DonkorD
  6. Mouhamed DiopM
  7. Iron GomisM
  8. Karim DermaneM
  9. Jérémy Le DouaronF
  10. Antoine MilleF
  11. Timothé NkadaF
Olympique de Marseille4-2-3-1
  1. Jeffrey De LangeG
  2. Conrad Jaden Egan-RileyD
  3. Nayef AguerdD
  4. Ulisses GarciaD
  5. EmersonD
  6. Tochukwu NnadiM
  7. Angel GomesM
  8. Himad AbdelliM
  9. Amine GouiriF
  10. Igor PaixãoF
  11. Amine HaritF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Troyes
1Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Troyes · Ligue 13–1
Troyes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Troyes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Troyes · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Troyes favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Troyes6 matchesOlympique de Marseille6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.43 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/611.8 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
38.7%Possession6/6● 57.5%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTroyesOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headTroyes — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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