PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Nice 2–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nice

DLDLW
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.30.54
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat RC Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – RC Strasbourg): shots 11–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.3–0.54, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nice's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsNice 11 shots, RC Strasbourg 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsNice 6 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG0.54 xGNice 1.3 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.54 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nice 46%, RC Strasbourg 54%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersNice 2 corners, RC Strasbourg 3 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls8 foulsNice 3 fouls, RC Strasbourg 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNice 1 card, RC Strasbourg 1 card
  • Passes454 passes542 passesNice 454 passes, RC Strasbourg 542 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.2%90.4%Nice 87.2%, RC Strasbourg 90.4%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsNice 10 shots, RC Strasbourg 4 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks3 blocksNice 0 blocks, RC Strasbourg 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesNice 2 saves, RC Strasbourg 4 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides2 offsidesNice 5 offsides, RC Strasbourg 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 41′Dário EssugoGoal · RC Strasbourg
  2. 45′Pape DiopGoal · RC Strasbourg
  3. Half-time
  4. 47′OsoYellow card · RC Strasbourg
  5. 75′Sofiane DiopYellow card · Nice
  6. 81′Jonathan ClaussGoal · Nice
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 37′Nice · 1 player changeHicham Boudaoui
  • 63′RC Strasbourg · 2 player changesGiovanni Reyna · Jacobo Ortega
  • 73′RC Strasbourg · 1 player changeSamir El Mourabet
  • 73′Nice · 1 player changeSofiane Diop
  • 73′RC Strasbourg · 1 player changeFabio Baldé
  • 76′RC Strasbourg · 1 player changeLucas Høgsberg
  • 86′Nice · 2 player changesEverton Pereira · Isak Jansson

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Nice3-4-2-1
  1. Yehvann DioufG
  2. Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  3. Niels NkounkouD
  4. Xavier MandzaD
  5. Youssouf NdayishimiyeD
  6. Jonathan ClaussD
  7. Axel WitselM
  8. Djibril CoulibalyM
  9. Gauthier HeinF
  10. Mohamed AmouraF
  11. Elye WahiF
RC Strasbourg4-2-3-1
  1. Filip JørgensenG
  2. Jeyland MitchellD
  3. Genesis AntwiD
  4. Karim CoulibalyD
  5. OsoD
  6. Giovanni ReynaM
  7. Diogo SousaM
  8. Samir El MourabetM
  9. Sebastian NanasiF
  10. Jacobo OrtegaF
  11. Gessime YassineF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Coupe de France0–2
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 13–1
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice6 matchesRC Strasbourg6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.11 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/611.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.5 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession6/647.7%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/62 corners/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headNice — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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