Ligue 1 · 2026

Nice vs RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nice

DLDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.252
Expected goals
0.921.23
Shots
12.311.6
Possession
60.3%46.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · RC Strasbourg11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match17.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RC Strasbourg have a visible away split

weak

RC Strasbourg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3% ●PossessionNice · RC Strasbourg46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNiceRC StrasbourgBaseline
Possession60.3%46.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice4 matchesRC Strasbourg5 matches
0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.23 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/511.6 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 4.8 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession4/546.4%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/51.8 corners/match
8.25 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Coupe de France0–2
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 13–1
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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