PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Rennais vs Auxerre · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.25
Expected goals
1.661.32
Shots
16.212
Possession
50.8%44%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Auxerre12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisAuxerreBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match15 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsStade Rennais · Auxerre13.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisAuxerreBaseline
Fouls13.2 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Auxerre in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais5 matchesAuxerre4 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/41.25 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/42.75 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/41.32 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/412 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/45.25 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession5/444%
5 corners/matchCorners5/4● 5.5 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/413.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
2Draws
2Auxerre
Auxerre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — Auxerre · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Auxerre · Ligue 10–1
Auxerre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 14–0
Auxerre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Auxerre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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