PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

RC Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.6
Expected goals
1.232.2
Shots
11.621.2
Possession
46.4%66.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Paris Saint-Germain21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match21.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match10 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%PossessionRC Strasbourg · Paris Saint-Germain● 66.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession46.4%66.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg5 matchesParis Saint-Germain5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.2 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 21.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.2 shots/match
46.4%Possession5/5● 66.2%
1.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/56.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
1Draws
3Paris Saint-Germain
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–3
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–2
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required