PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lille vs Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Lille

WDWWL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.4
Expected goals
1.321.79
Shots
12.818.8
Possession
47.8%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Lille, 3 drawn, 1 to Stade Brestois. From this fixture's own record: stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Stade Brestois18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match11.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille5 matchesStade Brestois5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.79 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 18.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/56 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession5/546.8%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lille
3Draws
1Stade Brestois
Lille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–1
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 13–3
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 12–0
Lille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLille — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required