Ligue 1 · 2026

Angers vs Lorient · Ligue 1

Angers

WLDWL
vsPre-match analysis

Lorient

LWDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171
Expected goals
1.591.02
Shots
1410
Possession
50.3%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Angers have a visible home split

weak

Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Lorient in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers6 matchesLorient6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.02 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots6/610 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.5 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession6/646.7%
7.17 corners/match ●Corners6/62.5 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/69.17 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Angers
2Draws
2Lorient
Lorient — Angers · Ligue 12–0
Angers — Lorient · Ligue 12–0
Lorient — Angers · Ligue 10–0
Angers — Lorient · Ligue 11–2
Lorient — Angers · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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