Ligue 1 · 2026

Lorient vs Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Lorient

DLWDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.4
Expected goals
1.131.79
Shots
10.418.8
Possession
48%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Lorient, 1 drawn, 3 to Stade Brestois. From this fixture's own record: lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Stade Brestois18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient5 matchesStade Brestois5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.79 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 18.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6 shots/match
48% ●Possession5/546.8%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
1Draws
3Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 12–0
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–3
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 14–0
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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