PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Cali vs Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.291.5
Expected goals
1.021.27
Shots
12.413.7
Possession
50.5%53.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsDeportivo Cali · Junior Barranquilla12.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliJunior BarranquillaBaseline
Fouls13.7 fouls/match12.9 fouls/match11.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali31 matchesJunior Barranquilla36 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored31/36▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/361.33 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals27/33▲ 1.27 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots31/35▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target31/35▲ 4.71 shots/match
50.5%Possession31/35● 53.3%
4.35 corners/matchCorners31/35● 4.8 corners/match
4.2 cards/matchCards10/82.38 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3512.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Cali
0Draws
0Junior Barranquilla
Junior Barranquilla — Deportivo Cali · Primera A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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