PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.54
Expected goals
0.911.17
Shots
10.612.8
Possession
46.4%46.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: llaneros FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Llaneros FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Llaneros FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC32 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe35 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/35▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed32/35▲ 1.03 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals24/32▲ 1.17 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots31/35▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target31/35▲ 4.91 shots/match
46.4%Possession31/35● 46.9%
4.97 corners/match ●Corners31/354.8 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards8/103.9 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3510.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Llaneros FC
0Draws
0Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe — Llaneros FC · Primera A0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLlaneros FCIndependiente Santa Fe
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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