PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga vs América de Cali · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.411.53
Expected goals
1.061.18
Shots
12.513.6
Possession
50.1%55%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Bucaramanga's last-five shots average is below their season average. Alongside it: américa de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlético Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Bucaramanga's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América de Cali have a visible away split

moderate

América de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · América de Cali in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga27 matchesAmérica de Cali30 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored27/30▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowed27/30▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals20/27▲ 1.18 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots27/30▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target27/30▲ 4.7 shots/match
50.1%Possession27/30● 55%
3.96 corners/match ●Corners27/303.9 corners/match
5 cards/matchCards4/93.56 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls27/3012.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Bucaramanga
0Draws
1América de Cali
América de Cali — Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético BucaramangaAmérica de Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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