Primera A · 2026

Junior Barranquilla vs Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.440.78
Expected goals
1.150.77
Shots
13.59.04
Possession
52.9%44.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: junior Barranquilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Deportivo Pereira's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Junior Barranquilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsJunior Barranquilla · Deportivo Pereira9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJunior BarranquillaDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match9.04 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match17 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible away split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.53 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.53 shots/match9.04 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla32 matchesDeportivo Pereira27 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/270.78 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/271.59 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/230.77 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/279.04 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/273.37 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession31/2744.4%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners31/272.52 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/73.29 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls31/2711.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Junior Barranquilla
0Draws
0Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A2–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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