PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.07
Expected goals
1.120.91
Shots
12.811.1
Possession
47.1%45.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe31 matchesJaguares de Córdoba27 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/271.07 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/271.74 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/230.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots31/2711.1 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/273.74 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession31/2745.3%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners31/273.96 corners/match
3.63 cards/matchCards8/44.5 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls31/2711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Santa Fe
0Draws
1Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeJaguares de Córdoba
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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