Primera A · 2026

Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.541.03
Expected goals
1.170.89
Shots
12.810.8
Possession
46.9%45.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: jaguares de Córdoba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Jaguares de Córdoba have a visible away split

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.93 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.93 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Independiente Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independiente Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Santa Fe · Jaguares de Córdoba10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente Santa FeJaguares de CórdobaBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match15 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe35 matchesJaguares de Córdoba30 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/301.03 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/301.77 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/260.89 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots35/3010.8 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/303.6 shots/match
46.9% ●Possession35/3045.5%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners35/304.07 corners/match
3.9 cards/matchCards10/64.83 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3011 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Santa Fe
0Draws
1Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A3–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples35 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness11 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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