PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Millonarios vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.481.07
Expected goals
1.340.91
Shots
15.611.1
Possession
48.8%45.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Millonarios show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMillonarios · Jaguares de Córdoba11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosJaguares de CórdobaBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios29 matchesJaguares de Córdoba27 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/271.07 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/271.74 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/230.91 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots29/2711.1 shots/match
5.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/273.74 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession29/2745.3%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners29/273.96 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards6/44.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millonarios
0Draws
1Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Millonarios · Primera A1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosJaguares de Córdoba
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required