Primera A · 2026

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Nacional · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.812.06
Expected goals
0.851.56
Shots
9.5216.5
Possession
44.9%57.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: atlético Nacional have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: boyacá Chicó FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Boyacá Chicó FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible home split

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.52 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.52 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.52 shots/match ▲ShotsBoyacá Chicó FC · Atlético Nacional16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBoyacá Chicó FCAtlético NacionalBaseline
Shots9.52 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC27 matchesAtlético Nacional32 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored27/32▲ 2.06 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed27/32▲ 0.84 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals25/32▲ 1.56 xG/match
9.52 shots/matchShots27/32▲ 16.5 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on target27/32▲ 6.38 shots/match
44.9%Possession27/32● 57.5%
3.96 corners/matchCorners27/32● 5.41 corners/match
3.8 cards/matchCards10/64 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls27/3211.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Boyacá Chicó FC
0Draws
1Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional — Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A4–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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