PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.531.13
Expected goals
1.061.13
Shots
12.612
Possession
49.6%50.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Atlético Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rionegro Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 2 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga30 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas30 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.13 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.33 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals22/24▲ 1.13 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots29/3012 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.73 shots/match
49.6%Possession29/30● 50.9%
3.83 corners/matchCorners29/30● 4.5 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/102.8 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Bucaramanga
0Draws
1Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético BucaramangaRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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