PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Alianza Valledupar FC vs Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.751.19
Expected goals
0.921.06
Shots
10.911.5
Possession
44.4%50.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Alongside it: alianza Valledupar FC's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Alianza Valledupar FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Alianza Valledupar FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rionegro Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC28 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas27 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored28/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals24/21▲ 1.06 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 11.5 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 3.7 shots/match
44.4%Possession28/27● 50.3%
4.07 corners/matchCorners28/27● 4.56 corners/match
4.67 cards/matchCards6/92.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar FC
0Draws
1Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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