PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Alianza Valledupar FC 2–2 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC and Rionegro Águilas Doradas drew 2–2.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.621.33
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar FC and Rionegro Águilas Doradas drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar FC – Rionegro Águilas Doradas): shots 20–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.62–1.33, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rionegro Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 20 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 6 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.33 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 1.62 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1.33 xG
  • Possession59%41%Alianza Valledupar FC 59%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 41%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 6 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 18 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards8 cards3 cardsAlianza Valledupar FC 8 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 cards
  • Passes371 passes264 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 371 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 264 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.9%68.6%Alianza Valledupar FC 81.9%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 68.6%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 7 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 9 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks2 blocksAlianza Valledupar FC 8 blocks, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 3 saves, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesAlianza Valledupar FC 3 offsides, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar FC
0Draws
1Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC32 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas31 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored32/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed32/31▲ 1.35 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals28/25▲ 1.14 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots32/3112 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target32/31▲ 3.77 shots/match
44.8%Possession32/31● 50.6%
4.25 corners/matchCorners32/31● 4.55 corners/match
5.25 cards/matchCards8/112.82 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3111.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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