Primera A · 2026

Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.480.97
Expected goals
1.10.89
Shots
15.210.3
Possession
53.8%46.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOnce Caldas · Llaneros FC10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOnce CaldasLlaneros FCBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.17 corners/match ●CornersOnce Caldas · Llaneros FC5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricOnce CaldasLlaneros FCBaseline
Corners5.17 corners/match5 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas31 matchesLlaneros FC29 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/290.97 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed31/291.1 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/210.89 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots30/2810.3 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/283.46 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession30/2846.8%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners30/285 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards7/73.71 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls30/2810.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Once Caldas
1Draws
0Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC — Once Caldas · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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