PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Swansea City vs West Ham United · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.572.86
Expected goals
1.632.12
Shots
12.415.9
Possession
58.4%55.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: west Ham United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

West Ham United have a visible away split

weak

West Ham United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.86 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City7 matchesWest Ham United7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.86 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.12 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.9 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.86 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession7/755.9%
4.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls7/78.86 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityWest Ham United
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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