Championship · 2026

Lincoln City vs West Ham United · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.882.56
Expected goals
1.341.98
Shots
12.415.3
Possession
35.6%58%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: west Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: west Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lincoln City have a visible home split

weak

Lincoln City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.6%PossessionLincoln City · West Ham United● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLincoln CityWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Possession35.6%58%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

West Ham United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLincoln City · West Ham United15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLincoln CityWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lincoln City favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 10

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lincoln City8 matchesWest Ham United9 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 2.56 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/91.33 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.98 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 5.78 shots/match
35.6%Possession8/9● 58%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6.33 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/99.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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