Lincoln City vs West Ham United — Stats & Match Analysis

Championship · 2026Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

Lincoln City

DDWWL

vsPre-match analysis

West Ham United

WWWWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 0.882.75
Expected goals: 1.342.03
Shots: 12.415.8
Possession: 35.6%57.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: west Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: west Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lincoln City have a visible home split

weak

Lincoln City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.3 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.6 goals/match	2.75 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Ham United have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.6%PossessionLincoln City · West Ham United● 57.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lincoln City	West Ham United	Baseline
Possession	35.6%	57.1%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lincoln City favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 10

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lincoln City8 matchesWest Ham United8 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.75 goals/match

1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.03 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.8 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.88 shots/match

35.6%Possession8/8● 57.1%

4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.63 corners/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/810 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season