Championship · 2026

Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.140.88
Expected goals
1.410.91
Shots
14.912.3
Possession
49.1%49.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Queens Park Rangers, 0 drawn, 3 to Derby County. From this fixture's own record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible home split

weak

Queens Park Rangers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.43 corners/match ●CornersQueens Park Rangers · Derby County6.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersDerby CountyBaseline
Corners6.43 corners/match6.38 corners/match5.41 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsQueens Park Rangers · Derby County12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersDerby CountyBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Derby County in 1

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers7 matchesDerby County8 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/81.75 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.91 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/812.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.63 shots/match
49.1%Possession7/8● 49.4%
6.43 corners/match ●Corners7/86.38 corners/match
8.86 fouls/matchFouls7/813.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
3Derby County
Queens Park Rangers — Derby County · Championship2–3
Derby County — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–0
Queens Park Rangers — Derby County · Championship4–0
Derby County — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–0
Queens Park Rangers — Derby County · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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