PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Wrexham vs Preston North End · Championship

Wrexham

WDDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.131
Expected goals
1.041.35
Shots
10.913
Possession
48.3%43.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: preston North End's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

weak

Preston North End's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham8 matchesPreston North End8 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession8/843.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.25 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wrexham
1Draws
0Preston North End
Wrexham — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Wrexham · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWrexhamPreston North End
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWrexham — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required