Season Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Goals scored 1 – 0.86
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.33
Shots 11.3 – 12.9
Possession 50.3% – 44.1% Story Comparison H2H Evidence More football 30-second read
What the record shows The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: Wrexham favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 2 · 2 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive) too close
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
Wrexham 7 matches Preston North End 7 matches
1 goal/match ▲ Goals scored7/7 0.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed7/7 1.86 goals/match
1.11 xG/match Expected goals7/7 ▲ 1.33 xG/match
11.3 shots/match Shots7/7 ▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.43 shots/match ▲ Shots on target7/7 3.14 shots/match
50.3% ● Possession7/7 44.1%
5.14 corners/match Corners7/7 ● 5.57 corners/match
11.6 fouls/match Fouls7/7 11.9 fouls/match
Wrexham 7 matches Preston North End 7 matches
1 goal/match ▲ Goals scored7/7 0.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed7/7 1.86 goals/match
1.11 xG/match Expected goals7/7 ▲ 1.33 xG/match
11.3 shots/match Shots7/7 ▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.43 shots/match ▲ Shots on target7/7 3.14 shots/match
50.3% ● Possession7/7 44.1%
5.14 corners/match Corners7/7 ● 5.57 corners/match
11.6 fouls/match Fouls7/7 11.9 fouls/match
Wrexham 5 matches Preston North End 5 matches
1 goal/match ▲ Goals scored5/5 0.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/match Goals allowed5/5 ▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.93 xG/match Expected goals5/5 ▲ 1.44 xG/match
9.8 shots/match Shots5/5 ▲ 13.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/match Shots on target5/5 ▲ 3.4 shots/match
3.4 corners/match Corners5/5 ● 6.4 corners/match
11 fouls/match Fouls5/5 12.2 fouls/match
Wrexham 3 matches Preston North End 3 matches
1 goal/match ▲ Goals scored3/3 0.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed3/3 1.67 goals/match
1.43 xG/match Expected goals3/3 ▲ 1.59 xG/match
12 shots/match Shots3/3 ▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/match ▲ Shots on target3/3 3.33 shots/match
57.7% ● Possession3/3 42.3%
5.67 corners/match ● Corners3/3 3.33 corners/match
11.3 fouls/match Fouls3/3 14 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches 35.8 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 35 days
Wrexham / Preston North End
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1 Wrexham
1 Draws
0 Preston North End
29 Dec 2025 Wrexham — Preston North End · Championship 2–1
6 Dec 2025 Preston North End — Wrexham · Championship 1–1
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 7 / 7 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness 36 days stale at cutoff
At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards. The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff. Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Championship