Championship · 2026

Wrexham vs West Bromwich Albion · Championship

Wrexham

WDDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.131.25
Expected goals
1.041.02
Shots
10.99.75
Possession
48.3%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: west Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: west Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

weak

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsWrexham · West Bromwich Albion9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWrexhamWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham8 matchesWest Bromwich Albion8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.02 xG/match
10.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.75 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 3.75 shots/match
48.3%Possession8/8● 52.9%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.88 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/810.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wrexham
1Draws
1West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion — Wrexham · Championship2–2
Wrexham — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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