Championship · 2026

West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.431.5
Expected goals
1.121.66
Shots
10.113.4
Possession
52.6%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: west Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: west Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible home split

weak

West Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Birmingham City13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion7 matchesBirmingham City8 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/81.38 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.66 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 4.5 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/848.4%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/8● 6 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/812.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Bromwich Albion
2Draws
2Birmingham City
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Birmingham City · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Birmingham City · Championship1–0
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–1
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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