Championship · 2026

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.881.38
Expected goals
0.721.34
Shots
10.314.3
Possession
38%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

weak

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCharlton Athletic · Bristol City14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticBristol CityBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Bristol City in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic8 matchesBristol City8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.34 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 14.3 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 4.63 shots/match
38%Possession7/8● 44.6%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/8● 5.25 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/811.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlton Athletic
1Draws
1Bristol City
Charlton Athletic — Bristol City · Championship1–2
Bristol City — Charlton Athletic · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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