PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Charlton Athletic 1–1 Bristol City · Championship

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic and Bristol City drew 1–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.921.5
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic and Bristol City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Bristol City): shots 12–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.92–1.5, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsCharlton Athletic · Bristol City14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticBristol CityBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsCharlton Athletic 12 shots, Bristol City 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Bristol City 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG1.5 xGCharlton Athletic 1.92 xG, Bristol City 1.5 xG
  • Possession53%47%Charlton Athletic 53%, Bristol City 47%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCharlton Athletic 5 corners, Bristol City 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsCharlton Athletic 13 fouls, Bristol City 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardCharlton Athletic 2 cards, Bristol City 1 card
  • Passes386 passes324 passesCharlton Athletic 386 passes, Bristol City 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy69.4%69.1%Charlton Athletic 69.4%, Bristol City 69.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsCharlton Athletic 9 shots, Bristol City 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksCharlton Athletic 4 blocks, Bristol City 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesCharlton Athletic 2 saves, Bristol City 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideCharlton Athletic 0 offsides, Bristol City 1 offside

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Charlton Athletic4-2-3-1
  1. Arthur OkonkwoG
  2. Lloyd JonesD
  3. Ivan MesíkD
  4. Danny McNamaraD
  5. Tyler BindonD
  6. Conor CoventryM
  7. Karlan GrantM
  8. Oliver SkippM
  9. Tyreece CampbellF
  10. Miles LeaburnF
  11. Millenic AlliF
Bristol City4-2-3-1
  1. Sam TickleG
  2. Robert AtkinsonD
  3. George TannerD
  4. Rio CardinesD
  5. Noah EileD
  6. Adam RandellM
  7. Joe WilliamsM
  8. Jason KnightM
  9. Yu HirakawaF
  10. Jed WallaceF
  11. Dominic BallardF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Charlton Athletic
1Draws
1Bristol City
Charlton Athletic — Bristol City · Championship1–2
Bristol City — Charlton Athletic · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Bristol City in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic9 matchesBristol City9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.36 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.1 shots/match
2.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.44 shots/match
39.7%Possession9/9● 44.9%
4.44 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.22 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls9/911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlton AthleticBristol City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headCharlton Athletic — Bristol City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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