Championship · 2026

Burnley vs Charlton Athletic · Championship

Burnley

DLDLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.130.88
Expected goals
1.230.72
Shots
14.410.3
Possession
49.4%38%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: burnley have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible away split

weak

Charlton Athletic's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Burnley show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Burnley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBurnley · Charlton Athletic10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyCharlton AthleticBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burnley favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 4

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burnley8 matchesCharlton Athletic8 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.72 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.57 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession7/738%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/74.86 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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