PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Burnley vs Wolverhampton · Championship

Burnley

DLDLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.132.14
Expected goals
1.141.82
Shots
13.415.4
Possession
49.8%53.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: burnley's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Burnley have a visible home split

weak

Burnley's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBurnley · Wolverhampton15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burnley favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burnley8 matchesWolverhampton7 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.82 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 4.57 shots/match
49.8%Possession8/7● 53.6%
4.88 corners/matchCorners8/7● 6.29 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls8/712.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Burnley
2Draws
1Wolverhampton
Burnley — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Burnley · Premier League2–3
Burnley — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Wolverhampton — Burnley · Premier League1–0
Burnley — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurnleyWolverhampton
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBurnley — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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