Championship · 2026

Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 2–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.170.61
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Norwich City): shots 12–11, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.17–0.61, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsSwansea City 12 shots, Norwich City 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsSwansea City 8 shots, Norwich City 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG0.61 xGSwansea City 2.17 xG, Norwich City 0.61 xG
  • Possession57%43%Swansea City 57%, Norwich City 43%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersSwansea City 3 corners, Norwich City 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsSwansea City 10 fouls, Norwich City 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSwansea City 1 card, Norwich City 1 card
  • Passes546 passes407 passesSwansea City 546 passes, Norwich City 407 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.3%75.9%Swansea City 83.3%, Norwich City 75.9%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsSwansea City 7 shots, Norwich City 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksSwansea City 1 block, Norwich City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesSwansea City 4 saves, Norwich City 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides6 offsidesSwansea City 2 offsides, Norwich City 6 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jack Stacey · Norwich City · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMelker Widell · Swansea City · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarlin Yongwa · Norwich City · 32′ · 0.01 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnthony Musaba · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Swansea City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Norwich City · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdam Idah · Swansea City · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Swansea City · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Idah · Swansea City · 59′ · 0.09 xG · goalAdam Idah · Swansea City · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 28′ · 0.13 xG · goalSam Field · Norwich City · 87′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAdam Idah · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Swansea City · 49′ · 0.36 xG · goalAdam Idah · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.41 xG · on targetJoseph Opoku · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Norwich City: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Moussa Kounfolo Yeo · Swansea City · 49′Adam Idah · Swansea City · 59′Jacob Wright · Norwich City · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 2.19 xG · Norwich City 0.55 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Swansea City4-3-3
  1. Lawrence VigourouxG
  2. Ben CabangoD
  3. Josh TymonD
  4. Stephen WelshD
  5. Filip LissahD
  6. Marko StamenićM
  7. Elijah JustM
  8. Gonçalo FrancoM
  9. Melker WidellF
  10. Adam IdahF
  11. Moussa Kounfolo YeoF
Norwich City4-2-3-1
  1. Vladan KovačevićG
  2. Jack StaceyD
  3. Harry DarlingD
  4. Ben ChriseneD
  5. Ruairi McConvilleD
  6. Pelle MattssonM
  7. Kenny McLeanM
  8. Oscar SchwartauM
  9. Andre BrooksF
  10. Jovon MakamaF
  11. Anthony MusabaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Swansea City
2Draws
1Norwich City
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship1–1
Swansea City — Norwich City · Championship2–1
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship5–1
Swansea City — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City9 matchesNorwich City9 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.89 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.38 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.4 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target9/95.44 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession9/951.9%
4 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.44 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls9/910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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