PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Swansea City vs Norwich City · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631.86
Expected goals
1.541.57
Shots
12.115.6
Possession
59.6%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City8 matchesNorwich City7 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71.86 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals8/71.57 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 15.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 5.71 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession8/752.1%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/7● 4.86 corners/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls8/711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Swansea City
2Draws
1Norwich City
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship1–1
Swansea City — Norwich City · Championship2–1
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship5–1
Swansea City — Norwich City · Championship1–0
Norwich City — Swansea City · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityNorwich City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headSwansea City — Norwich City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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