PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Birmingham City vs Preston North End · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.86
Expected goals
1.731.33
Shots
13.112.9
Possession
48.4%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: birmingham City's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Birmingham City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Birmingham City favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Birmingham City8 matchesPreston North End7 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/70.86 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71.86 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.33 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots7/712.9 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.14 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession7/744.1%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners7/75.57 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Birmingham City
0Draws
2Preston North End
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Birmingham City · Championship0–1
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Birmingham City · Championship2–1
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBirmingham CityPreston North End
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBirmingham City — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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