PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Birmingham City vs Preston North End · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51
Expected goals
1.661.35
Shots
13.413
Possession
48.4%43.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: preston North End's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

weak

Preston North End's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Birmingham City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBirmingham City · Preston North End13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBirmingham CityPreston North EndBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Birmingham City favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Preston North End in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Birmingham City8 matchesPreston North End8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.35 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/813 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession8/843.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners8/85.25 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Birmingham City
0Draws
2Preston North End
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Birmingham City · Championship0–1
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Birmingham City · Championship2–1
Birmingham City — Preston North End · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBirmingham CityPreston North End
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBirmingham City — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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