PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Preston North End vs Millwall · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.861.88
Expected goals
1.331.91
Shots
12.914.8
Possession
44.1%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: millwall's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Millwall's recent record differs from the season

weak

Millwall's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Millwall in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End7 matchesMillwall8 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.88 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.91 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 4.13 shots/match
44.1% ●Possession7/844.1%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/84.38 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/812.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Preston North End
3Draws
2Millwall
Preston North End — Millwall · Championship0–2
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship1–1
Preston North End — Millwall · Championship1–1
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship3–1
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndMillwall
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headPreston North End — Millwall
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required