PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Preston North End 0–1 Millwall · Championship

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millwall won 0–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.581.09
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Millwall): shots 12–11, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.58–1.09, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsPreston North End 12 shots, Millwall 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsPreston North End 1 shot, Millwall 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.09 xGPreston North End 0.58 xG, Millwall 1.09 xG
  • Possession46%54%Preston North End 46%, Millwall 54%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersPreston North End 4 corners, Millwall 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsPreston North End 8 fouls, Millwall 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsPreston North End 1 card, Millwall 2 cards
  • Passes354 passes423 passesPreston North End 354 passes, Millwall 423 passes
  • Pass accuracy69.8%70.9%Preston North End 69.8%, Millwall 70.9%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsPreston North End 7 shots, Millwall 7 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockPreston North End 5 blocks, Millwall 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 savePreston North End 2 saves, Millwall 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesPreston North End 1 offside, Millwall 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Leo LeroyYellow card · Preston North End
  2. 19′Jenson MetcalfeYellow card · Millwall
  3. Half-time
  4. 71′Derek Mazou-SackoYellow card · Millwall
  5. 79′Camiel NeghliGoal · Millwall
  6. Full time
Player changes · 6grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Preston North End · 1 player changePol Valentín
  • 59′Preston North End · 1 player changeDelano Burgzorg
  • 66′Millwall · 2 player changesTristan Crama · Luke Cundle
  • 72′Preston North End · 1 player changeThierry Small
  • 74′Millwall · 1 player changeMark Sykes

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Preston North End3-5-2
  1. Daniel IversenG
  2. Andrija VukčevićD
  3. Harry ClarkeD
  4. Jordan StoreyD
  5. Andrew HughesD
  6. Stanley MillsD
  7. Alfie DevineM
  8. Jordan ThompsonM
  9. Leo LeroyM
  10. Callum LangF
  11. Johnny KennyF
Millwall4-2-3-1
  1. Filip MarschallG
  2. Jordi Osei-TutuD
  3. Zak SturgeD
  4. Jake CooperD
  5. Caleb TaylorD
  6. Lyndon DykesM
  7. Jenson MetcalfeM
  8. Derek Mazou-SackoM
  9. Tairyk ArconteF
  10. Camiel NeghliF
  11. Mark SykesF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Preston North End
3Draws
2Millwall
Preston North End — Millwall · Championship0–2
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship1–1
Preston North End — Millwall · Championship1–1
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship3–1
Millwall — Preston North End · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Millwall in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End9 matchesMillwall9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.78 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.81 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.3 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4 shots/match
43.8%Possession9/9● 45.2%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners9/94.33 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/912.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndMillwall
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headPreston North End — Millwall
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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