PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Derby County vs Wrexham · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Wrexham

LWDDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.881
Expected goals
0.911.11
Shots
12.311.3
Possession
49.4%50.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Wrexham in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County8 matchesWrexham7 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.11 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/711.3 shots/match
3.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/73.43 shots/match
49.4%Possession8/7● 50.3%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners8/75.14 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/711.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Derby County
1Draws
1Wrexham
Derby County — Wrexham · Championship1–2
Wrexham — Derby County · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDerby CountyWrexham
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headDerby County — Wrexham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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