PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Cardiff City · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 2–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.711
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City): shots 17–10, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.71–1, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cardiff City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cardiff City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBlackburn Rovers · Cardiff City17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBlackburn RoversCardiff CityBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.44 corners/matchCornersBlackburn Rovers · Cardiff City● 7.56 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBlackburn RoversCardiff CityBaseline
Corners6.44 corners/match7.56 corners/match5.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Cardiff City have a visible away split

moderate

Cardiff City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsBlackburn Rovers 17 shots, Cardiff City 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotBlackburn Rovers 8 shots, Cardiff City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1 xGBlackburn Rovers 1.71 xG, Cardiff City 1 xG
  • Possession41%59%Blackburn Rovers 41%, Cardiff City 59%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersBlackburn Rovers 11 corners, Cardiff City 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsBlackburn Rovers 9 fouls, Cardiff City 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsBlackburn Rovers 1 card, Cardiff City 0 cards
  • Passes327 passes465 passesBlackburn Rovers 327 passes, Cardiff City 465 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.4%82.8%Blackburn Rovers 73.4%, Cardiff City 82.8%
  • Shots inside box13 shots8 shotsBlackburn Rovers 13 shots, Cardiff City 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksBlackburn Rovers 4 blocks, Cardiff City 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesBlackburn Rovers 0 saves, Cardiff City 5 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideBlackburn Rovers 4 offsides, Cardiff City 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Andri GuðjohnsenGoal · Blackburn Rovers
  2. 38′Todd CantwellGoal · Blackburn Rovers
  3. Half-time
  4. 53′Callum RobinsonGoal · Cardiff City
  5. 90′Todd CantwellYellow card · Blackburn Rovers
  6. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 60′Cardiff City · 1 player changeChris Willock
  • 64′Blackburn Rovers · 2 player changesJayden Fevrier · Moussa Baradji
  • 71′Cardiff City · 2 player changesIsaak Davies · David Turnbull
  • 74′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeAugustus Kargbo
  • 78′Cardiff City · 1 player changeRonan Kpakio
  • 79′Cardiff City · 1 player changeCalum Scanlon
  • 83′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeJake Garrett

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Blackburn Rovers4-2-3-1
  1. Balázs TóthG
  2. Ryan AlebiosuD
  3. Harry PickeringD
  4. Tom AtchesonD
  5. Sean McLoughlinD
  6. Sam MorsyM
  7. Todd CantwellM
  8. Ryoya MorishitaM
  9. Andri GuðjohnsenF
  10. Oladapo AfolayanF
  11. Kristi MontgomeryF
Cardiff City4-2-3-1
  1. Nathan TrottG
  2. Joel BaganD
  3. Gabriel OshoD
  4. Perry NgD
  5. Dylan LawlorD
  6. Jack MoylanM
  7. Alex RobertsonM
  8. Joel ColwillM
  9. Ollie TannerF
  10. Chris WillockF
  11. Cian AshfordF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Blackburn Rovers
1Draws
1Cardiff City
Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City · Championship1–2
Cardiff City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–3
Cardiff City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0
Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City · Championship1–0
Blackburn Rovers — Cardiff City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Cardiff City in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers9 matchesCardiff City9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.67 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.89 shots/match
50.6%Possession9/9● 64%
6.44 corners/matchCorners9/9● 7.56 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackburn RoversCardiff City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headBlackburn Rovers — Cardiff City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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