PitchMath
Championship · 2026

West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.431.43
Expected goals
1.120.92
Shots
10.112.1
Possession
52.6%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: west Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: blackburn Rovers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Blackburn Rovers have a visible away split

weak

Blackburn Rovers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 3 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion7 matchesBlackburn Rovers7 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.92 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/74 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/752.1%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.86 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2West Bromwich Albion
2Draws
1Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers — West Bromwich Albion · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–0
West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–2
Blackburn Rovers — West Bromwich Albion · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers · Championship4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Bromwich AlbionBlackburn Rovers
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWest Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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