PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

América de Cali 1–2 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Medellín won 1–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.60.94
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Medellín beat América de Cali 2–1. Recorded in this match (América de Cali – Independiente Medellín): shots 12–14, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.6–0.94, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América de Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América de Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América de Cali have a visible home split

moderate

América de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsAmérica de Cali 12 shots, Independiente Medellín 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAmérica de Cali 3 shots, Independiente Medellín 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG0.94 xGAmérica de Cali 0.6 xG, Independiente Medellín 0.94 xG
  • Possession51%49%América de Cali 51%, Independiente Medellín 49%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAmérica de Cali 2 corners, Independiente Medellín 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsAmérica de Cali 9 fouls, Independiente Medellín 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsAmérica de Cali 3 cards, Independiente Medellín 3 cards
  • Passes408 passes374 passesAmérica de Cali 408 passes, Independiente Medellín 374 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.6%86.6%América de Cali 84.6%, Independiente Medellín 86.6%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsAmérica de Cali 6 shots, Independiente Medellín 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksAmérica de Cali 4 blocks, Independiente Medellín 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesAmérica de Cali 2 saves, Independiente Medellín 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesAmérica de Cali 1 offside, Independiente Medellín 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América de Cali
0Draws
1Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín — América de Cali · Primera A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali34 matchesIndependiente Medellín32 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored34/321.47 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/321.28 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals31/27▲ 1.22 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots34/32▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target34/32▲ 4.91 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession34/3252.9%
4 corners/matchCorners34/32● 5.16 corners/match
3.73 cards/matchCards11/133.85 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls34/3211.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples34 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica de CaliIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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