PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Borussia Dortmund 2–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund and SV Werder Bremen drew 2–2.

Shots
2111
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.421.13
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund and SV Werder Bremen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – SV Werder Bremen): shots 21–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.42–1.13, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · SV Werder Bremen13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16 shots/match16.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.4% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · SV Werder Bremen44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession53.4%44.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots11 shotsBorussia Dortmund 21 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsBorussia Dortmund 9 shots, SV Werder Bremen 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG1.13 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.42 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.13 xG
  • Possession72%28%Borussia Dortmund 72%, SV Werder Bremen 28%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 9 corners, SV Werder Bremen 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBorussia Dortmund 2 cards, SV Werder Bremen 1 card
  • Passes753 passes298 passesBorussia Dortmund 753 passes, SV Werder Bremen 298 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.8%73.8%Borussia Dortmund 89.8%, SV Werder Bremen 73.8%
  • Shots inside box11 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 11 shots, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksBorussia Dortmund 3 blocks, SV Werder Bremen 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesBorussia Dortmund 2 saves, SV Werder Bremen 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesBorussia Dortmund 1 offside, SV Werder Bremen 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 80′Daniel SvenssonGoal · Borussia Dortmund
  3. 85′Nico SchlotterbeckGoal · Borussia Dortmund
  4. 88′Ludovit ReisGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  5. 90′Dariusz StalmachYellow card · SV Werder Bremen
  6. 90′Joey VeermanYellow card · Borussia Dortmund
  7. 90′Niclas FüllkrugGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  8. 90′Felix NmechaYellow card · Borussia Dortmund
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 19′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeOskar Wójcik
  • 63′Borussia Dortmund · 1 player changeFábio Silva
  • 65′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesMitchell Weiser · Dariusz Stalmach
  • 72′Borussia Dortmund · 2 player changesKonstantinos Karetsas · Joey Veerman
  • 81′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesMick Schmetgens · Paul Erevbenagie

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
  1. Gregor KobelG
  2. Waldemar AntonD
  3. Ramy BensebainiD
  4. Maximilian BeierD
  5. Joane GadouD
  6. Daniel SvenssonD
  7. Felix NmechaM
  8. Joey VeermanM
  9. Serhou GuirassyF
  10. Ethan NwaneriF
  11. Fábio SilvaF
SV Werder Bremen4-2-3-1
  1. Karl HeinG
  2. Olivier DemanD
  3. Amos PieperD
  4. ArthurD
  5. Marco FriedlD
  6. Ludovit ReisM
  7. ChukiM
  8. Youri RegeerM
  9. Niclas FüllkrugF
  10. Marco GrüllF
  11. Eren DinkçiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
2Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–0
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund5 matchesSV Werder Bremen5 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.1 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession5/544.6%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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