PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Brestois vs Angers · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Angers

LWLDW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.2
Expected goals
2.171.63
Shots
21.515
Possession
46.5%51.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.5 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Angers15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisAngersBaseline
Shots21.5 shots/match15 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/matchCornersStade Brestois · Angers● 7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisAngersBaseline
Corners6.5 corners/match7.6 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Angers in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois4 matchesAngers5 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/51.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 1 goal/match
2.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/51.63 xG/match
21.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/515 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53 shots/match
46.5%Possession4/5● 51.2%
6.5 corners/matchCorners4/5● 7.6 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/511 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Brestois
1Draws
1Angers
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 12–0
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Angers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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