PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Brestois 5–1 Angers · Ligue 1

5–1Full-time analysis

Angers

LWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 5–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.711.39
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Angers 5–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Angers): shots 19–9, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.71–1.39, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Angers14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisAngersBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match14 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Angers have a visible away split

weak

Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsStade Brestois 19 shots, Angers 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 9 shots, Angers 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.71 xG1.39 xGStade Brestois 3.71 xG, Angers 1.39 xG
  • Possession54%46%Stade Brestois 54%, Angers 46%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersStade Brestois 4 corners, Angers 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls11 foulsStade Brestois 5 fouls, Angers 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardStade Brestois 1 card, Angers 1 card
  • Passes530 passes431 passesStade Brestois 530 passes, Angers 431 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.1%84.2%Stade Brestois 88.1%, Angers 84.2%
  • Shots inside box12 shots8 shotsStade Brestois 12 shots, Angers 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksStade Brestois 3 blocks, Angers 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesStade Brestois 2 saves, Angers 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesStade Brestois 1 offside, Angers 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Ludovic AjorqueGoal · Stade Brestois
  2. 15′Ludovic AjorqueYellow card · Stade Brestois
  3. 17′Lucas TousartGoal · Stade Brestois
  4. 30′Kenny LalaPenalty goal · Stade Brestois
  5. 45′Mama BaldéGoal · Stade Brestois
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Prosper PeterGoal · Angers
  8. 54′Pathé MboupGoal · Stade Brestois
  9. 59′Jordan LefortRed card · Angers
  10. 87′Branco Van den BoomenYellow card · Angers
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 34′Angers · 1 player changeEmmanuel Biumla
  • 46′Angers · 1 player changeLilian Raolisoa
  • 61′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeJoseph Nonge
  • 62′Angers · 2 player changesMaël Gernigon · Amine El Ouazzani
  • 79′Stade Brestois · 2 player changesNoah Edjouma · Mamady Diambou
  • 85′Angers · 1 player changeLouis Mouton
  • 85′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeIbrahim Yayiya Kante
  • 86′Stade Brestois · 1 player changeDjylian N'Guessan

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Stade Brestois4-2-3-1
  1. Egil SelvikG
  2. Bradley LockoD
  3. Gautier LlorisD
  4. Lucas TousartD
  5. Kenny LalaD
  6. Hugo MagnettiM
  7. Joris ChotardM
  8. Kamory DoumbiaM
  9. Pathé MboupF
  10. Mama BaldéF
  11. Ludovic AjorqueF
Angers4-2-3-1
  1. Anthony LopesG
  2. Carlens ArcusD
  3. Ousmane CamaraD
  4. Joseph KaluluD
  5. Jordan LefortD
  6. Branco Van den BoomenM
  7. Amine SbaiM
  8. Yassin BelkhdimM
  9. Prosper PeterF
  10. Jim AllevinahF
  11. Amine El OuazzaniF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Brestois
1Draws
1Angers
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 12–0
Angers — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Angers · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois6 matchesAngers6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.59 xG/match
18.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/614 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63 shots/match
48%Possession6/6● 50.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.17 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Angers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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