PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Angers vs Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Angers

LWLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.5
Expected goals
1.471.38
Shots
15.813.5
Possession
48.8%60.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionAngers · Olympique de Marseille● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession48.8%60.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers4 matchesOlympique de Marseille4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.38 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/413.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
48.8%Possession4/4● 60.8%
9 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Angers
2Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–5
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 12–2
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headAngers — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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