PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Angers vs Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Angers

LWLDW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21.4
Expected goals
1.631.47
Shots
1513.2
Possession
51.2%56.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAngers · Olympique de Marseille13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match17 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers5 matchesOlympique de Marseille5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.47 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.8 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/5● 56.4%
7.6 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Angers
2Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–5
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 12–2
Angers — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Angers · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headAngers — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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