PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

FC Rostov 1–0 Akron Togliatti · Premier League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 1–0.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Akron Togliatti 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Akron Togliatti): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–5, possession 40%–60%, corners 1–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Akron Togliatti have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%PossessionFC Rostov · Akron Togliatti● 53.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovAkron TogliattiBaseline
Possession45.7%53.8%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsFC Rostov 10 shots, Akron Togliatti 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Akron Togliatti 5 shots
  • Possession40%60%FC Rostov 40%, Akron Togliatti 60%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersFC Rostov 1 corner, Akron Togliatti 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsFC Rostov 17 fouls, Akron Togliatti 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFC Rostov 1 card, Akron Togliatti 3 cards
  • Passes326 passes498 passesFC Rostov 326 passes, Akron Togliatti 498 passes
  • Pass accuracy72.1%78.5%FC Rostov 72.1%, Akron Togliatti 78.5%
  • Shots inside box2 shots4 shotsFC Rostov 2 shots, Akron Togliatti 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksFC Rostov 1 block, Akron Togliatti 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesFC Rostov 5 saves, Akron Togliatti 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesFC Rostov 3 offsides, Akron Togliatti 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Rostov
0Draws
2Akron Togliatti
Akron Togliatti — FC Rostov · Premier League1–3
FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–1
Akron Togliatti — FC Rostov · Premier League2–3
FC Rostov — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Akron Togliatti in 0 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov10 matchesAkron Togliatti10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1012.4 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/10● 53.8%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.6 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovAkron Togliatti
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Akron Togliatti
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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