PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 3–1 Londrina · Serie B

Ituano

WLDLL
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 3–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.20.9
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Londrina 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Londrina): shots 14–11, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.2–0.9, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ituano, Londrina.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysItuano · Londrina2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricItuanoLondrinaBaseline
Rest days2.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsItuano 14 shots, Londrina 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsItuano 4 shots, Londrina 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.9 xGItuano 1.2 xG, Londrina 0.9 xG
  • Possession54%46%Ituano 54%, Londrina 46%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersItuano 7 corners, Londrina 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls20 foulsItuano 20 fouls, Londrina 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano9 matchesLondrina9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.53 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession9/947.7%
5 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.56 corners/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls9/916.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoLondrina
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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