PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 1–0 Ituano · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Ituano

LWLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–0.

Shots
229
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.260.41
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Ituano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Ituano): shots 22–9, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.26–0.41, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vila Nova FC.

3.03 days ▲Rest daysVila Nova FC · Ituano4.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVila Nova FCItuanoBaseline
Rest days3.03 days4.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsVila Nova FC · Ituano12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVila Nova FCItuanoBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsVila Nova FC 22 shots, Ituano 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 6 shots, Ituano 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG0.41 xGVila Nova FC 2.26 xG, Ituano 0.41 xG
  • Possession39%61%Vila Nova FC 39%, Ituano 61%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersVila Nova FC 6 corners, Ituano 8 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsVila Nova FC 19 fouls, Ituano 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC7 matchesItuano8 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/81.25 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.89 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/812.1 shots/match
5.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.75 shots/match
45%Possession7/8● 50.5%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners7/84.75 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls7/817 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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