Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–3 Ceará · Serie B

1–3Historical match

Ceará

WDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–3.

Shots
179
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.91.44
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Londrina 3–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Ceará): shots 17–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.9–1.44, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará.

5 days ▲Rest daysLondrina · Ceará3.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLondrinaCearáBaseline
Rest days5 days3.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Londrina have a visible home split

weak

Londrina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsLondrina 17 shots, Ceará 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsLondrina 4 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG1.44 xGLondrina 1.9 xG, Ceará 1.44 xG
  • Possession39%61%Londrina 39%, Ceará 61%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersLondrina 8 corners, Ceará 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsLondrina 19 fouls, Ceará 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina8 matchesCeará8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.3 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 3.63 shots/match
47.9%Possession8/8● 55.9%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners8/83.88 corners/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls8/817.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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