PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 1–2 Ceará · Serie B

1–2Historical match

Ceará

LWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–2.

Shots
2213
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
1.641.92
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Criciúma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Ceará): shots 22–13, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 1.64–1.92, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma have a visible home split

weak

Criciúma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots13 shotsCriciúma 22 shots, Ceará 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsCriciúma 9 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG1.92 xGCriciúma 1.64 xG, Ceará 1.92 xG
  • Possession60%40%Criciúma 60%, Ceará 40%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersCriciúma 9 corners, Ceará 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsCriciúma 13 fouls, Ceará 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma7 matchesCeará7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.28 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
49.3%Possession7/7● 55.1%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls7/718.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 May 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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