PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ponte Preta 1–1 Guarani · Serie B

1–1Historical match

Guarani

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta and Guarani drew 1–1.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.711.31
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta and Guarani drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Guarani): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.71–1.31, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.57 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Guarani's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsPonte Preta · Guarani10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaGuaraniBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match16.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsPonte Preta 10 shots, Guarani 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPonte Preta 3 shots, Guarani 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG1.31 xGPonte Preta 0.71 xG, Guarani 1.31 xG
  • Possession43%57%Ponte Preta 43%, Guarani 57%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersPonte Preta 2 corners, Guarani 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls20 foulsPonte Preta 22 fouls, Guarani 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta7 matchesGuarani7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.2 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
47.6%Possession7/7● 49.3%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.71 corners/match
18.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 May 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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